Simulate sustainable withdrawals, see how long your pension pot will last and check withdrawal rate safety
| Year | Beginning Balance | Investment Return | Total Withdrawn (Annual / Monthly) | Ending Balance |
|---|
The free Pension Withdrawal Calculator helps you simulate sustainable withdrawals from your retirement portfolio. Enter your starting balance, expected return, withdrawal amount and frequency to see how long the pot will last, your initial withdrawal rate safety assessment, interactive charts and a full year-by-year breakdown.
In the "Inputs" section of the app, fill out the following fields with your personal data:
Once the inputs are set, the calculator will display key projections in the "Results" section:
Goal: Determine a sustainable monthly withdrawal that keeps the ending balance positive for the full 30-year horizon.
If the monthly withdrawal is kept at a sustainable level the Ending Balance remains positive for the full 30 years. Increasing the withdrawal beyond that level causes Time to Zero to fall below 30 years, showing when the portfolio is projected to be exhausted.
Initial Withdrawal Rate is the percentage of your starting portfolio that you plan to withdraw in the first year. It is one of the most important sustainability metrics in retirement planning and is the basis for the classic โ4% rule.โ
1. Determine the annual withdrawal amount (Year 1)
Annual Withdrawal = Withdrawal Amount ร Withdrawal Frequency
2. Calculate the rate
Initial Withdrawal Rate (%) = (Annual Withdrawal รท Starting Balance) ร 100
The result is rounded to two decimal places and displayed as a percentage.
3. Apply a risk assessment The calculator automatically classifies the rate using these thresholds (based on historical safe-withdrawal research):
| Rate | Label | Colour class |
|---|---|---|
| โค 3 % | Very Conservative | Green (safe) |
| โค 4 % | Historically Safe | Green (safe) |
| โค 5 % | Moderate Risk | Yellow (moderate) |
| > 5 % | Aggressive / Risky | Red (risky) |
โ Annual Withdrawal = $4,000 ร 12 = $48,000 โ Initial Withdrawal Rate = ($48,000 รท $500,000) ร 100 = 9.60 % โ labelled Aggressive / Risky
If you lower the monthly withdrawal to $1,500: โ Annual Withdrawal = $18,000 โ Rate = 3.60 % โ labelled Historically Safe
That is the complete logic behind the โInitial Withdrawal Rateโ result you see in the summary cards.
Estimation Purposes Only: This calculator provides a simplified simulation based on constant annual return and inflation assumptions. Real-world market performance fluctuates.
Tax Implications: The tool does not account for taxes on gains or withdrawals, which will affect your net pension value.
Static Assumptions: The model assumes a fixed annual return rate and a constant inflation adjustment. Real portfolios often require dynamic rebalancing and variable spending.
Not Financial Advice: Use the results for planning purposes only; consult a certified financial planner for personalised advice.
Please email all suggestions for improvements and any bug reports to: pensionwithdrawalcalc@personalfinances.me, thank you.